لاھور میں حزب التحریر کا ممکنہ وزیرستان آپریشن کے خلاف مظاہرہ
The aim of this post is to highlight how liberals and mullahs of Pakistan can, at times, converge to reinforce and propagate a GHQ’s induced narrative on patriotism.
In the following post, it is hard to miss the common anti-North Waziristan operation and pro-Pakistan army theme in the Hizbut-Tahrir’s press release and Mr Ejaz Haider’s article in The Friday Times.
Here is a copy of the press release by the Hizbut Tahrir, Pakistan.
A time tested formula of the traitor rulers’ to initiate a military operation
It has been barely a week since the visit of the crusader commander Mike Mullen but his diktats are already being implemented. The traitor ruler’s kicked off there time tested and all-weather formula of initiating the military operation.
Mass murder has begun in the Mohmand agency and situation is being created for the American dictated operation in the North Waziristan.
Artificially propped up electricity load shedding is to be observed throughout Pakistan from December 26.
Through these self created crises the government has engaged the people in their day-to-day problems thus diverting there attention from the great sin of military operations in the tribal areas.
Engaging the Ummah in the political dramas is also part of this scenario like the current “crisis” due to separation of a government collation partner; who are otherwise hand in glove with the government.
On the other hand, shelling from helicopters and skirmishes has been initiated in different tribal areas killing 40 tribals and 10 military men. To justify all this, a series of suicide blasts has been set off. Hizb ut-Tahrir has always been warning the Ummah that these blasts are conducted by the USA and the traitor rulers at a specific juncture to create excuse for the military operation. T
hat’s why they always choose public places, shrines, mosques, schools and Islamic university for the suicide blast to create maximum resentment. The situation is clear.
The media and the sincere officers of the armed forces should go beyond the “official truth” and stand against these operations.
We call upon the sincere officers of the armed forces of Pakistan to come forward and provide support and nusra to Hizb ut-Tahrir for the re-establishment of the Khilafah. It will be the Khalids, Al-Fatihs, Muhammad Bin Qasis sand Salahuddin Ayubis of the armed forces of the Khilafah; in front of whom no Petreaus, Mullens, Dannats, Gates and Mc Crystals would have the courage to stand and they will run away from all the Muslim occupied area like frightened chickens.
امریکی احکامات پر مہمند ایجنسی میں جھڑپوں کا آغاز کر دیا گیا؛ شمالی وزیرستان آپریشن کی تیاریاں جاری
بجلی اور گیس کا مصنوعی بحران اورخودکش دھماکے؛ غدار حکمرانوں کا فوجی آپریشن شروع کرنے کا آزمودہ نسخہ
امریکی صلیبی کمانڈرمائیک مولن کے پاکستان کے دورے کو ختم ہوئے جمعہ جمعہ آٹھ دن بھی نہیں ہوئے کہ اس کے احکامات رنگ لا نے لگے ہیں۔ غدار حکمرانوں نے فوجی آپریشن شروع کرنے کے اپنے آزمودہ نسخے کو استعمال کرنا شروع کر دیا ہے۔ مہمند میں قتلِ عام کا آغاز ہو چکا جبکہ شمالی وزیرستان پر امریکی ڈکٹیشن میں آپریشن شروع کرنے کے لئے ماحول تیار کیا جارہا ہے۔ 26دسمبر سے پورے پاکستان میں بجلی کی مصنوعی لوڈشیڈنگ کا آغاز کیا جا رہا ہے
ان خود ساختہ بحرانوں سے حکمران عوام کو اپنے مسائل میں الجھا کر قبائلی مسلمانوں میں فوجی آپریشن کے ظلم عظیم سے توجہ ہٹاتے ہیں۔ سیاسی تماشوں میں امت کو مصروف رکھنا بھی اسی پروگرام کا حصہ ہے،جس میں حکومت کے اپنے بھائی بند جماعتوں کی اقتدار سے نام نہاد علیحدگی کے مصنوعی بحران شامل ہیں۔
دوسری جانب مختلف قبائلی علاقوں پر ہیلی کاپٹر سے شیلنگ اور جھڑپوں کا آغاز کر دیا گیا ہے جس میں کل چالیس سے زائد قبائلی اور دس سے زائد فوجی جوان جاں بحق ہوئے، اس قتلِ عام کو جواز مہیا کرنے کیلئے فوراً ہی خودکش حملوں کا سلسلہ شروع کر دیا گیا ہے۔
حزب التحریر امت کو ہمیشہ کی طرح خبردار کرتی ہے کہ یہ خودکش حملے امریکہ اور غدار حکمرانوں کی ملی بھگت سے ایک مخصوص وقت میں آپریشن کا جواز گھڑنے کیلئے کروائے جاتے ہیں اور اس کیلئے ہمیشہ عوامی مقامات، درگاہوں، اسکولوں، اسلامک یونیورسٹی اور مساجد ہی کا انتخاب کیا جاتا ہے۔
صورتحال واضح ہے ، میڈیا اور افواج پاکستان کے مخلص افسران کو ’سرکاری سچ‘ کے جال سے باہر نکل کر ان آپریشنوں کے خلاف بند باندھنا ہوگا۔
ہم افواج پاکستان کے مخلص افسران سے اپیل کرتے ہیں کہ وہ حزب التحریر کوخلافت کے قیام کیلئے نصرت و مدد دینے کے لئے آگے بڑھیں۔ یہ خلافت کی افواج کے خالد، الفاتح، محمد بن قاسم اور صلاح الدین ایوبی ہونگے، جن کے سامنے کسی پیٹریاس، مولن، ڈناٹ، گیٹس اور مکرسٹل کو سر اونچا کرنے کی جراًت نہیں ہو گی اور وہ تمام مسلمان مقبوضہ علاقوں سے دم دبا کر بھاگنے پر مجبور ہو جائیں گے۔
پاکستان می حزب التحریر کے ڈپٹی ترجمان
Source: Hizbut Tahrir, Pakistan
North Waziristan is a bad idea
by Ejaz Haider
The fact is that the US has been unable to secure Afghanistan; even its Ink Spot Strategy has been half-hearted and without much consequence
The specific area of concern for Washington is North Waziristan. Just days ago, US ambassador to Pakistan, Cameron Munter, talked about North Waziristan, but said that the decision to launch an operation in the area would be taken by Pakistan itself. He also acknowledged the degree of difficulty and the fact that consolidation in areas already under the control of Pakistan Army has stretched Pakistani forces.
Much the same has been said about a possible operation in NWA by US Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Mike Mullen in several statements over the last six months. The US President Barack Obama himself has, at least publicly, been praising Pakistan’s efforts and arguing that Pakistan’s stability is a crucial factor in winning the war in Afghanistan.
Equally, however, the US wants Pakistan to go into NWA, sooner rather than later. There are at least two not-so-hidden assumptions in the US argument: the NWA is the centre of gravity (COG) of Afghan insurgency; once the Haqqani network is taken out through an operation in that Agency, the backbone of the Taliban insurgency in Afghanistan will be broken and voila!
Both assumptions are wrong. The insurgency does not have a defined COG; there are multiple COGs and command lines are much more diffused than anyone is prepared to accept. There is already much dispersal of the leadership and the fighters because of drone attacks. Dispersal and delegation of operations also provide Taliban the flexibility they require to retain their asymmetric advantage over foreign troops in Afghanistan.
Secondly, even if, let’s assume, some leaders of the Haqqani network are taken out and their fighters killed in the low hundreds (a very high estimate given that they are unlikely to give pitched battles), the network presents only one dimension of the insurgency. The American idea that packing the punch against the Haqqani network – assuming that the network would offer itself as a concentrated target for the convenience of any superior force – would signal to others to come to the negotiating table is unlikely to happen.
In this game Pakistan will be the loser. NWA is a place that does not just house the Haqqani network; it also has Haji Gul Bahadur, elements of the relocated Tehrik-e Taliban Pakistan, multiple Punjabi groups and remnants of Al Qaeda. Currently, these groups are geographically confined and to that extent isolated. If Pakistan goes after them, it will have to face multiple, negative consequences.
One, the US wants Pakistan to go into NWA primarily to take out the Haqqani network which, let’s be clear, is no threat currently to Pakistani forces stretched because of fighting elements hostile to it. That situation would not obtain once the network knows that the Pakistani forces are coming after it. Its obvious strategy would be to link up with elements hostile to Pakistan and operating only against Pakistani interests. Two, elements hostile to Pakistan will get reinforced by such a link-up.
Three, while use of force will make the various groups join hands, it will fail to translate into utility of force for the simple reason that the groups would disperse and spread out instead of offering themselves as a concentrated target for a superior force. That makes sense also because rather than losing too many men in pitched battles, they will disperse while retaining some fighters to engage advancing columns in combination with the use of area denial weapons like anti-personnel mines, anti-tank mines, IEDs and booby traps.
This means that while they will try to slow down the advance and extract a heavy toll of advancing troops, they would not need to employ the bulk of their forces that are likely to extricate with the first signs of an impending operation.
Pakistan would then be left with two negative fallouts: future operational linkage between the Afghan Taliban and the TTP and other assorted hostile groups; dispersal of these groups into other areas where they would lose themselves in urban populations and most definitely resort to urban terrorism as reprisal. The Haqqani network could relocate to other tribal and settled areas of Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa as well as move into Afghanistan.
An operation against the Haqqani network will also activate other Afghan Taliban against Pakistani security forces which are already battle-stressed fighting the Pakistani groups affiliated with Al Qaeda. This means opening another front, currently dormant.
Given all these negatives, the obvious question is: does this tactical move add up to a larger strategic picture? The answer is no.
If there is no strategic plus, and if it can be determined that going into NWA would further destabilise Pakistan and securing the area would, at best be a pyrrhic tactical win, then it becomes clear that the US is totally confused about the situation. Obama cannot stress the vital imperative of stabilising Pakistan and then ask Islamabad to take measures that will decidedly induce greater instability within Pakistan.
The fact is that the US has been unable to secure Afghanistan; even its Ink Spot Strategy has been half-hearted and without much consequence. Large swathes of territory within Afghanistan are controlled by the Taliban and NATO forces have to pay the Taliban to secure their supply routes. Of course no one in the US is prepared to acknowledge that. The selling point is to focus on Pakistan and, currently, on North Waziristan. That may make good domestic politics, but falls woefully short of what is required to secure Afghanistan.
The writer is Contributing Editor, TFT. He can be reached at email@example.com
Source: The Friday Times
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